TMRC Saturday Shakedown - Championships Day 2

We are back to shake down this weekend’s massive cards after a relatively decent outing last week, even though it was a fairly unpredictable day of racing, but now it's on to Day 2 and even bigger races, let’s get stuck in!


Best Bet at Randwick


Race 9 - Probabeel - $2.60 Win


What more is there to say about this horse. She's perhaps the 'Mightiest Mare' since Winx herself and while that may seem like a HUGE claim, just look at her track record. Yes, the wet track completely took her out of the game in the All-Star Mile, but that was always going to be the case. She is an absolute fiend on dry turf and she gets that here and will absolutely love pressure, as she almost always rises to the occasion. Name another horse that relishes running three-wide no cover more than Probabeel. There wouldn't be many out there, so I am backing Probabeel in to be the Queen of the Turf.


Best Bet at Caulfield


Race 5 - La Mexicana - $3.60 Win


I love the way that La Mexicana goes about her business. One of Jamie Kah's most consistent rides is looking to grab its first win since February and I have full confidence in her getting it done here. She likes the conditions, tick. She likes the distance, tick. She likes the track, tick. And of course, as I mentioned, she gets Jamie Kah again, massive tick. I see La Mexicana leading from the second barrier and never looking back down the straight.


Best Each Way Bet


Race 10 - Fiesta - $9 Win/$2.80 Place


I'm going with the value in the Waller-trained Fiesta. Can be forgiven in the Galaxy after an average run behind Eduardo, but it was a little wet for her, hence the 7th placing. Getting back to her preferred distance, in her preferred conditions is a big plus. With her favourite jockey Hugh Bowman back on board, I think Fiesta is a huge chance to finish the day with a win and I’ll back her In as such. Give her strength!


The Mock's Roughie Alert


Race 3 - Prince Aurelius - $14 Win/$4 Place


Big field for the Provincial Championships final and it will be a fast one with Loch Lomond and Prince Aurelius will go forward. Pandano looks real good here, coming off 2 straight wins and maps exceptionally. However, I think there is some serious value sniffing around that I would prefer to be with. Animate isn’t a terrible chance and neither is Darleb or Electric Girl, but that horse that I mentioned to go forward in Prince Aurelius. Going for 5 straight wins, and while you can argue that those wins were over nobodies, they were all on provincial tracks against provincial level horses, which is exactly what you need in the PROVINCIAL final. So I believe $14 is overs here and with the place price at $4, I think an Each way bet would not go amiss on Prince Aurelius.


The Mock's Multi Madness


Best Bet Multi - $9.36

Combine Probabeel and La Mexicana into a multi and if they both win, you’ll collect a lovely $9.36 odd multi.


Around The Grounds Multi - $8.26

We go around the grounds once more, remember to take these as single win bets and combine them all into this place multi that pays $8.26 Of course, Probabeel and La Mexicana take up our NSW and VIC slots. We head to South Australia at Morphettville and in the sixth race, we hope that Instant Celebrity provides the goods. In QLD, at Eagle Farm, I reckon Master Jamie is the best and will win for us, if not place. Finally, at Ascot in WA, Final Chill seems to be a real good chance to take it and as a result, we will back him in.


Just For Fun Multi - $88.20

For this one, we will see if we can tip the biggest 3 at Randwick this week, if it gets up, you owe us a beer. In the Aussie Oaks at let’s cheer home Hungry Heart and we’ll roll that into the Sydney Cup with Southern France. After that, hopefully, Verry Elleegant gets the choccies and defeats Addeyebb in the Queen Elizabeth and we will be cheering.


Well, punters, that’s the Saturday Shakedown for the week, good luck to all of you out there and we hope that by Saturday night we have funded a few of your beers. Remember, however, to know your limits and ALWAYS gamble responsibly.


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