This'll win on Saturday, Vol 38.

Ahhh dear.

Red Chase got into the clear and I was just about to dive to the betting account and see how much I'd had on to start counting the cash.

Then Red Chase gave up.

Too much weight, my bad.

Here's how we're going.

Outlay: $3,500

Return: $3,460

Profit: $-40

We're staying where the good racing is and I need a win, big time, so we're going with some value.

Zaaki is a star so the $1.50 looks better than bank interest but let's find something that might pay for a few beers on Saturday night.

Eagle Farm 4 - Lord Belvedere - $8.50

Yep, that's right.

Back with Lord Belvedere.

He featured as our best maybe 3-4 weeks ago at the coast and Mark Zahra decided to have him 3 wide the trip with 60kgs.

This week he gets Melbourne Cup winning jockey Jye McNeil over the 3200m @ Eagle Farm for the Brisbane Cup.

It's a pretty thin race, they all pretty much come out of the same race.

Carif has the big weight and got a peach from Kah last week, Rondinella ran home okay but thought Lord Belvedere's run was better.

In fact Lord Belvedere was a bit unlucky in the straight and should have finished a lot closer, I think the step up in distance suits and so long as he doesn't pull his head off, he'll be finishing off strongly.

We need it.

Give him strength.

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