Well, what can we say, if you followed us in last week you've been eating out this week and probably had a few wines most nights. You're welcome.
But, in this game, you've got to be at your best week in, week out. So let's back it up again this week and find some winners.
Great racing in Melbourne, if the rain stays away until Sunday, we'll be on a good track. It's great racing, but crikey they've made it hard for us!
Just the two bets for me on the day, the first of which will be in the Gilgai down the straight. Looks a two horse race and Santa Ana Lane may well be the best weighted horse all day. He's never really at his best first up, but this looks like one of the easier assignments he's had in some time. Tofane of course the big danger, but banking on Santa to be ready, he can't be far off, he's got an Everest to run in two weeks! $4.80 looks a fair price, we may even get better on game day.
The other one in Melbourne is in Race 8. Chris Waller's mare that always struggle to draw a barrier, Madam Rouge. Decent enough run at Caulfield, if Ben Melham can just find a back to follow, she will be winning. You don't want her making a long run, she needs to be held up and given on last crack. Banking on Melham to get that done for us around $5.50.
The Turnbull Stakes you ask? Very tricky. I'll box a first four with a few runners, Vow and Declare, Surprise Baby, Master of Wine, King of Leogrance & Finche. Good race!
Racing in Brisbane at HQ, Eagle Farm. First bet of the day will come up in Race 4. I've already made a case for Fort Wayne this week, you can read about that here. I think it'll relish the step in trip and getting on to the big Eagle Farm track. $5 in early markets looked a spoil, give it strength.
Two other bets on the day in Brisbane are from the Rob Heathcote stable and Robbie Fradd will pilot both of them. Race 6, Emerald Kingdom. Admittedly, not the best stats first up and last prep was a bit of a nightmare, but a recent barrier trial behind Zoustyle and The Odyssey tells me this horse is ready to go first up. More to my liking is the lack of tempo in the race, gets me thinking Fradd can have this either outside the lead or just in behind the speed and be very strong late. Good horse this, the $4.80 is nice!
The final bet of the day in Brisbane comes up in the last, Alpine Dancer. The run of this horse last start was very very good, it always takes a few runs to get fit and this race just looks ideal for it. In fact, it ticks every box, particularly from a good barrier and a step in distance. Very keen and we're getting $5.50! Tasty.
Sydney looks a bit tough too, couple of 2-year old races to watch. Treading carefully!
In Race 1, if you've got some coins in the centre console of your car, or perhaps you find some cash in your jeans from Friday night beers, just have a bit each way on Kubrick in the first. Don't have too much on it but, it is D-Day for this horse, missed the start 2-3L last time out but was only beaten less than 6L by Probabeel. Kubrick at his best would win this and if Chris Waller is happy to persist with him, then so am I. Let's hope he breaks cleanly and finds his best form around $23!
Race 6 in Sydney is the Premier Stakes and the second up run for Nature Strip. Don't think they'll be holding him up today, he'll be sent forward and take control of the speed, no flash odds around $1.75 but looks hard to beat. Classique Legend, Deprive and Libertini will be storming home!
Feature of the day in Sydney is the Metropolitan Handicap. Kris Lees' runner, Mugatoo looks to have a mortgage on it but I can see them running it hard and making him carry the 57kg. Perhaps something like Angel of Truth or Rondinella down in the weights might be good value!
Good luck, good punting!