Saturday Racing Preview - Caulfield Guineas Day

Fair to say last week was pretty fucking shit from a punting perspective. Fort Wayne got COVID - coughing in the run - whilst Emerald Kingdom almost touched the outside rail on the turn.


Santa Ana Lane was disappointing and Nature Strip wasn't much better.


What a shit show.


Anyways, the good thing about this week is, there's plenty of winners to be found and there's some absolutely cracking racing. Let's jump in.


Caulfield


Tricky-ish sort of start to the day in Melbourne, maybe Swats That wins the second with even luck from the barrier, but I'll keep the powder dry until an each way bet in Race 5, the Schillaci Stakes. Order of Command, suited back to weight-for-age here and boasts a fantastic 2nd up record, 4 wins from 6 starts. $7.50 or thereabouts, looks a nice each way play, think the market is totally wrong here, Sydney raider Splintex looks the danger to my eye.


Race 6 on the day is the Caulfield Stakes, Russian Camelot comes up a $1.45. He'll take on Arcadia Queen and the old boy Humidor again. Expect that to be the trifecta, maybe Humidor pips the Queen for 2nd. But it should be all about Russian Camelot in this one. Very short, but also very good.



Best of the day in Melbourne is in the big one, King's Legacy. I've already spoken about this horse this week, check that out here. Hugh Bowman is very confident with this horse and he looks tough to beat so long as he can navigate his way around Caulfield from a tricky gate.


Randwick


Crikey! Some good racing in Sydney!


First bet of the day will be in Race 2, the Team Hawkes trained Colt, Doubtland. Liked the win at Flemington and the trip away may have bought it on. Maps to get the run just behind Wild Ruler. I think Doubtland will get a glorious run, smoking the pipe, then pulls out and goes straight past 'em. $2.10 looks a fair price!


Race 5 is the Stan Fox Stakes, prior to Mamaragan coming out and heading to Melbourne, I was questioning whether I'd be backing Peltzer as I couldn't split them, now it looks a really good bet around $2.60. I've always thought this bloke was a good horse, I think the 1500m is ideal from a soft draw with T Clark on board. Looks mighty hard to beat here.


The other bet in Sydney comes up in Race 8, in fact, I'll probably back two horses at double figure odds here. First one is Scarlett Dream, who rattled home first up and has won second up in the past. The other one is Nudge, which comes out of the same race and had a bit of traffic in the run home. Both are around the $10 mark, I'll have a bit on both of them each way and I think we'll be getting a result.


Alligator Blood is the other star stepping out in Sydney, in fact that Silver Eagle is a good race, think the favourite might be a bit short!


Doomben


Only two bets in Brisbane and the best comes up in the Queensland Cup over 2200m. It is the Sydney raider for Bjorn Baker, Fun Fact. Showed up $3.10 in early markets, I can't imagine it'll be that price or anything greater on Saturday. Think it'll go straight to the front and give a big kick on the turn, go the mighty grey!


Last bet in Brisbane is in the 8th on the card, he might need a bit of luck from the inside but tipping Red Chase ($4.40). Flew home in the Weetwood, stays at the 1200m which I don't mind given there will be some serious speed in this race. If he can show some sort of tactical speed and not be too far away on the turn, he'll be finishing better than anything else.


If I was forced to have a third bet, I'd go to Race 6, the first up win of Batangas Entry in midweek grade was pretty tidy but it has come up fairly short around the $4.40.


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