No Group 1 races to stick our teeth into this week but some cracking racing at Eagle Farm with a number of Group & Listed races. Some persistent showers around this week in Brisbane and more expected on Saturday, I am thinking we’ll be on a Soft 5 potentially, so I’ve done the form based on that.
Elsewhere, racing returns to The Valley in Melbourne, Rosehill Gardens in Sydney and Murray Bridge gets a Saturday meeting in Adelaide. Let’s rip into some thoughts for the weekend and find a couple of winners.
Really competitive card of racing @ Moonee Valley, with no clear stand out bet for me on the program. Currently rated a Soft 6, the forecast isn’t suggesting too much more in the way of rain prior to race day, that may mean we work our way up to a Good track, who knows. If we’re not, I would think It’s Kind of Magic will be scratched out of Race 6, it was too bad to be true last time out on the wet track @ Caulfield, beaten before even straightening. On a firm surface, I am prepared to give it another chance but it is nearing D-Day. Perhaps the best on the Moonee Valley card might be in the second leg of the quaddie, Plein Ciel, now in the Danny O’Brien yard. We’d want a good track for this fella but his first up run was a cracker, narrowly beaten by Iconoclasm and crossing the line with subsequent winner Vassilator. Second-up record is strong and Billy Egan is riding in great form, $7.50 looks a great each way bet so long as we’re on a firm (ish) surface.
Rain around in Sydney as well this week, looking at a Soft to even in the Heavy range for Rosehill this week. It is a moderate card, a couple of young horses that are making their way through the grades, the race that appeals the most is probably the staying race over 2400m. The wet track specialist Wu Gok lines up against after a great win first up from a 2-month break. It looks a battle of the Waller runners, Wu Gok and The Lord Mayor, I think they have the edge on Yulong Prince but it looks a likely Waller trifecta. The safe bet might be to just take Wu Gok ($2.70) and The Lord Mayor ($4.20) straight out at the current odds available. I really can’t find much else in Sydney that I like on the weekend, QLD’er Lady Banff boasts a good record and will give them something to catch with J-Mac on in the first, maybe that’s the way we will get our day started.
Murray Bridge gets a Saturday meeting and there’s a couple of nice horses going around. One horse I’ve been following has come up huge odds in the 5th Race on the card. Right down the bottom of the weights, Outpost. Yes, $31, no luck first up and won second up last prep, albeit it against an inferior field. Drawn the inside, might need a touch of luck but I’ll bank on Hurdle giving him the ride of a life and giving us a good sight at $31. A good sprint race on the day comes up in Race 7, Dixon Street has been in cracking form and has been very kind to me, I think she’s a dual acceptor across in Melbourne as well but might make it 4 on the trot if they stay at home in Adelaide.
The best racing this weekend is saved for sunny (maybe) Brisbane. I’ve been waiting for one particular horse to get out to this distance and is now third up. Back to that in a second, a couple of really good betting propositions outside of that on the day, Godolphin have shipped up Best of Days, they’ve dropped him back to the 1600m and whacked the blinkers on, drawn Barrier 3 with R Fradd on, $9.50 looks an absolute spoil. I think the market has got it wrong in that race, Military Zone looks a good chance as well around the $6 mark and whilst Niccanova was arguably unlucky not to win a Stradbroke last week, I am going to risk him at the short price. The Roses sees Vanna Girl go around at a pretty short quote but what can beat her? She is a serious race horse and looks like she’ll be winning again on the weekend on the big Eagle Farm track.
Black on Gold will be returning to the winners circle this week, I hope. Photo credit: Racing and Sports
Now, the best of the weekend and the best I’ve seen in a long while. Third up, 2400m, drawn well, trained by the great man C Waller, I am getting stuck right into Black On Gold at $11. First and second up runs have been crackers, without too much luck, it’ll enjoy the wide open pastures of the Eagle Farm track and the 2400m appears it will suit big time. I am going to back it regardless of the surface, I’ll be doubling (maybe tripling or more) my bet if we’re on a Good track. Give this thing strength!
Good luck, good punting and as always, gamble responsibly!