Ipswich - 11th November 2020
Midweek racing heads to Ipswich this Wednesday, beautiful fine weather around the high twenties. The rail moves out 5m, as a result, I would expect the track to play better for the front runners. I am happy to have a couple of small plays, as it is a competitive race card with many chances throughout the day.
Race One: Two Year Old Maiden - 1100m
A small five-horse field is set to face the starter. Of the five, there is only one horse I can’t have. The Kendrick trained ‘Bayerische’ is the current favourite, I am happy to take it on. It trialled okay at the Sunshine Coast but I just want to see the colt have a run first. ‘Azure Pride’ from the Heathcote camp caught my eye at the trials. He sat handy in the running, but what impressed me was the way this colt took a narrow gap and pinned the ears back.
Going on to win the trial by just over a length. I am happy to forgive ‘Portobello Road’ for its first start. They say nothing beats experience for two-year-olds, and maybe this is what this fella needed. Bubba Tilley ensured this bloke got to the lead and had a good hit out in last week's trial.
I will respect the Fogden camp and their decision not to geld this son of ‘Dream Ahead’. A small field with a lot of chances, but I am happy to have a small quinella ‘Azure Pride’ and ‘Portobello Road’.
Bet Strategy: 2 & 4 Quinella
Race Four: Three Year Old Maiden - 1200m
There are two nice fillies here, both I think will be much better than maiden company. ‘Excel In The Sun’, having its first start off three trials. The latest of which this filly sat back and ran home nicely under a stronghold in a time of 1:00.85.
‘She’s An Eagle’, comes here with the experience of race-day conditions added with the fitness of one trial this prep. That trial recorded last week went 58.83. This filly ran second in her only start with the winner showing promise by going down .1 of a length last Saturday at Doomben. I expect Eagle to utilise barrier 2 and either lead or sit behind the leader, while Excel from what we have seen will most likely go back and run home.
I think the market has it wrong, and while ‘She’s An Eagle’ stays at the $3.10 price she is worth a bet. Watch this race closely as I expect both fillies to have good preps.
Bet Strategy: ‘She’s An Eagle’ (10) @ $3.10 - PlayUp
Race Seven: Class One - 1200m
‘Dis Da Wun’ is, without doubt, the interesting runner of the day. Has only had three starts, two of which were down south while her only startup here resulted in a nice win in Toowoomba. This mare was a beaten favourite behind ‘Frosty Rocks’ dating back to April this year. ‘Frosty Rocks’ came out and won a Saturday race at Rosehill last weekend.
From the footage available this girl seems to have her quirks, but up against this field, I think she again should be too good. I am hoping from the good barrier she will be able to hold a positive position and peel around them at the top of the straight and be too good. Short enough but most definitely a nice anchor for some multis.
Bet Strategy: ‘Dis Da Wun’ (8) @ $1.70 - PlayUp
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