Jack Nicklaus once described Winged Foot as the toughest set of greens he'd ever seen. That's probably all you need to know about what the US Open field is facing this week.
The last time Winged Foot hosted the US Open was in 2006, Aussie Geoff Ogilvy finished +5 and won, beating Jim Furyk, Colin Montgomerie and Phil Mickelson by 1 shot. Yes, you read that right, Ogilvy won having finished 5 over par.
If you've got a spare 22 minutes, watch the highlights of that final round, Mickelson makes an absolute mess of the 18th to lose the tournament - nasty.
In a world where we see -20 winning tournaments week in week out on the PGA Tour, Winged Foot is a whole new ball game. Narrow fairways, DEEP rough and tight pin placements on those tricky greens.
It goes without saying, you need to drive it straight and you need to be able to putt.
The obvious pick this week is Dustin Johnson, the world number 1 is in ridiculous form, he won just shy of $19m in one month just recently and will come here with plenty of confidence. Like every week, if DJ can drive it well, he'll be in contention.
Winged Foot is going to be brutal, apparently last week Justin Thomas played a couple of practice rounds and shot a couple over par. The winner this week will be shooting over par, that's almost guaranteed.
The winner of the 2020 US Open is going to have to be able to grind it out and you're going to need to have a short memory, you make a mistake and get over it quickly and get on to the next shot.
You WILL NOT want to be compounding your errors!
This week, I am not too worried about length off the tee, I am more concerned about driving accuracy, flat stick prowess and course management. Here's how to make some money on the US Open.
Webb Simpson $50 @ $26
This is the type of golf that Webb Simpson is made for. 2012 US Open champion who's game is arguably better now, Webb led the PGA Your in 2019-20 in a number of categories including putts per GIR and ranked 18th in driving accuracy. He's my top tip for this week.
Brendon Todd $20 @ $101
Fresh off a sensational 2020, Todd combines a cool head with accuracy off the tee and excellent putting. Todd finished 4th in driving accuracy and is near to the top of the all key putting stats. He'll grind, he's in there with a shot.
Patrick Cantlay $15 @ $31
I made a prediction earlier in the year that Cantlay would win a major this year, he's got the US Open and The Masters left to do it. For no other reason than that, I simply can't leave him out.
Matt Kuchar $15 @ $201
$201? 28th in driving accuracy and another guy that is surely destined to one day win a major, albeit his window might be closing. Worth a small ticket on KUUUUCH to get it done.
The other two I've left out, the obvious being the GOAT, Tiger Woods. I think I'll keep my powder dry on him until The Masters, whilst someone who will grind and can putt is Ian Poulter, he's not the worst at big odds!