Updated: Oct 21, 2020
What to do with the Cox Plate now?
3 weeks ago, Russian Camelot looked all over a winner, then he got turned over by Arcadia Queen, now he’s gone and drawn the carpark.
On Saturday, Russian Camelot will jump from Barrier 14 and has subsequently drifted out to be an equal $5 favourite for the big race.
So who wins the 100th running of the Cox Plate?
Finally, after 4 years of short priced favourites winning the Cox Plate, we’re presented with a wide open weight-for-age championship of Australasia.
You could have 5-6 bets and still miss the winner! Based on the form I have been in, I could almost tip 13 horses and still not have a collect.
There’s formlines from all over the place, the sentimental victory would be Humidor who has come close in this race, including a memorable second to the great mare 2017. He’s probably got a length or two to find based on recent runs behind Russian Camelot and Arcadia Queen.
Kolding is another one that boasts great recent form but his recent runs the Melbourne way have not been inspiring. J Mac comes down to partner this fella after Hughie Bowman copped a suspension on the weekend. He could surprise.
There’s a few that fit the category of being a good horse but probably not going the best, they include Master of Wine & Magic Wand, while I think Fierce Impact, Mugatoo and Nettoyer are all quality animals but are not suited by the 2040m at The Valley.
The internationals? Bit of chat around that Armory is the best of the bunch, I’ve watched a few videos and none of them really jump off the page. Sir Dragonet for Bossy might be the way to go, but there’s certainly no superstars like we’ve seen in years gone by.
I’ve settled on the Kiwi mare Probabeel, coming off her win in the Epsom and with big race jockey Kerrin McEvoy partnering her. McEvoy has ridden Probabeel in her two runs this prep and will be full of confidence and cash after last week’s win in the Everest.
I think Probabeel will be the testing material so long as she can get around The Valley. Arcadia Queen the big danger, her track work on Tuesday morning looked very sharp to back up her last start victory, while Kolding, Sir Dragonet and Russian Camelot will fight out third spot.
The 3-year old, Grandslam, he adds some intrigue to the race and will likely lead them up but not expecting him to replicate the feats of Seamus Award, he may look the winner at some point and expecting him to break the field up, that should only mean a saloon passage for Probabeel to hug the rail and win!
Probabeel @ $9, go you good thing.