3 bets for today

Mid-week racing, had a bit of a win last Wednesday thanks to a nice horse on the coast.

Let's rip in.

Ballarat Race 5 - Lucky Sham - $5

This horse some ability and I think the favourite is way too short in this market.

D Lane on and barrier 5 after scratchings means he'll lob just off the speed and give himself every chance.

He lost his first start on protest, he then won his next by 3.25L before going to Flemington and carrying a big weight and finishing near the rear before going for a spell. Think $5 is a very good price here, keen!

Ipswich Race 6 - Fortified - $2.30

C Waller staying horse on the improve and I reckon $2.30 might get out a little bit. Suggest from the sticky draw he'll push forward near enough to the speed, we'll leave Jimmy Orman to sort that out.

Love the step up to 2200m for this horse, no flash odds but think he'll be super hard to beat today at Royal Ipswich.

Think the market has this one right, Nothinsweetaboutme to run second and Mt Mort Shark in for third.

Ballarat Race 8 - Garimpeiro - $3.80

Like this bloke up to the 1600m, he'll go back and will be running on strongly. Drawn wide but with scratchings will come into barrier 7, the concern might be the heavy track but I had a look back through some of those runs where he hasn't placed on soft & heavy ground and you could make some excuses.

Think we might get better than $3.80.

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