Tough old weekend on the punt, couple of fancied runners in Melbourne certainly didn't live up to expectations - or mine at least.
Back for some mid-week racing, I think there's two good bets and then a third which is more a novelty race for me and just holds some interest!
Sandown Race 3 - Irish Butterly - $1.95
Surely today is the day for this horse, third up from a spell and out to 1500m. Think the extra distance will suit and should get a gun run from the good draw.
I will say that Kanzai is a talented horse but from the inside draw, I think it will be buried away on the rail and need plenty of luck. That leaves Irish Butterfly as a good bet around $1.85 - expect him to be midfield in the run, 1 off the fence and present at the top of the straight and run away from them. I can see Kanzai flashing late for the minor money.
Warwick Farm Race 6 - Travest - $2.60
This is a classy galloper showing up @ the midweeks after a short spell. Not stoked with the barrier but that's why you throw Tommy Berry on!
If the Warwick Farm track isn't flattering front runners, all Tommy will have to do here is find a bit of cover in the run and this bloke should round these up and storm away - there should be enough speed in this race to allow that to happen.
Ipswich Race 1 - Hollywood Al - $6
WARNING - shit race - please read!
In terms of most shit house races of all-time, this is fairly well up there. This is why it's only half a bet.
If my maths is correct, a combined 75 starts between these runners for 3 placings. Fark me! But, that'll all change today and there's money to be made!
I'm actually just interested in this race to see how slowly they go, but I am going to have a bit each way (no third dividend) on Hollywood Al. Wasn't a terrible run last start - it certainly wasn't good - but it pulled it's head off and went to the front and was a bit of a shot duck on the turn. If he can settle here, he could win this race of the slow coaches.
I know many of you are liking the $50 staking plan, here it is for today.
- $22 the win Travest @ $2.60
- $20 the win Irish Butterfly @ $1.95
- $4 each way on Hollywood Al @ $6 / $2.30
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